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Sportsline has the over/under for the Vols season-win total set at 5.5 games. One college football analyst is taking the under. But, we aren’t sure we would.

Josh Nagel is a senior analyst for Sportsline.com. He has an article giving his bets on every single SEC school based on the over/under odds.

The Tennessee football team has an uphill battle when it comes to next season. We have mentioned this before, but the Vols have the hardest five-game span in the nation. It could be the most unfavorable five-game span in the history of the program. Plus you add West Virginia to the non-conference schedule, and there is only three for sure wins out there.

By now, if you’re reading this, you know the Vols schedule without looking at it. And, you’ve probably already analyzed every aspect of the schedule for possible wins from every angle.

The over/under for the season-win total is set at 5.5 for Tennessee. Can we all agree that East Tennessee State, UTEP, and Charlotte are all wins? So, there are three wins right off the top. Only three more to go.

Let’s all go ahead and mark Alabama and Georgia as losses. Not being negative, but I would guess most people are going with chalking those games down as losses for now.

There are seven more games that are up in the air, and the Vols only need to win three of them to hit the over.

And, that isn’t crazy talk after taking a look at the schedule. We figured we could break up the remaining seven games into two tiers.

Tier One

Tier one are games against teams that the Vols could win. It certainly shouldn’t surprise anyone if the Vols won any of these game but will have to play their best. Those teams are West Virginia, Florida, Auburn, and South Carolina.

Tier Two

Tier two are truthfully games the Vols should win. Missouri, Kentucky, and Vanderbilt are all apart of this tier. These are three games that come near the end of the season and could mean a lot when it comes to making a bowl game.

Here is what Josh Nagel of Sportsline how to say about the odds.

After an eventful coaching search, the Volunteers eventually found a match in Jeremy Pruitt, the former defensive coordinator at Georgia and Alabama. Pruitt reportedly is taking a “back-to-basics” approach with a program that lacked such fundamentals amid a miserable 4-8 campaign last year. His objective will be to bring toughness and discipline back on defense, while also reviving an offense that fell apart in 2017. Three soft nonconference games should go in the win column but, unless the Volunteers sweep the back-end of their SEC slate against lower-tier opponents, getting to six wins feels a bit ambitious in Pruitt’s first year as a head coach. I like the value of the Under.

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I wouldn’t say hoping for six wins is too ambitious. It is more than doable. All the Vols need to do is with the three easy non-conference games and all three of the tier two games. Even if the Vols win two of those games, they could pull out at least one win against a tier one opponent. I think it’s safe if you’re betting to take the over.